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Ian Davidson's avatar

2. The current "compromise" of devo will increasingly be seen as a "compromise too far":

a. It Won't protect us from English Nationalism in its ugliest forms?

b. The UK is a £fiscal busted flush; the devo cookie jar will become increasingly empty?

c. We (and other parts of the UK) will get fed up being dragged into other people's wars for no obvious good reason & having to suffer the economic & other pain arising?

d. Eventually, folks will come to terms with the realisation that the SNP, whilst clearly more Scottish-focused than other UK based political parties, is potentially just as corrupt & incompetent* as those UK-based parties. However, having accepted that "adult" reality, we will still opt for independence as the correct political choice, but this time with our eyes wide open to internal & external opportunities & threats. Focus on indy?

*Forget about vain efforts to seek genuine remorseful political accountability. Whether it's the Murrell/Sturgeon stitch-ups on money, Salmond or whatever; avoidable covid deaths due to poor decision making & a limited "golden circle" of favoured advisers; ferries which don't sail...there is almost Zero chance of achieving collective & personal accountability in any meaningful form? Swinney may have to resign as FM before 2031, as a break from the SNP's murky past, but even that will be well choreographed in advance, as is almost everything else?

UK? Will there EVER be real accountability for Covid deaths; the corrupt CV contracts; the Grenfell Fire; the strangle-hold of Israel on our foreign policy etc? NO, forget it; we just don't do accountability in the modern political world? Don't confuse morality with politics; ethical values with the exercise of political power; they are different things.

Like I said, the good, the bad & the ugly. Just my subjective assessment as of today. I hope that Yes United can indeed Unite us in attaining the common goal of independence, preferably in my lifetime, and that of anybody reading this page now! (end)

Ian Davidson's avatar

William. Thanks for this useful reminder of the positive discussions which took place in March, seems a long time ago?! Below is my own entirely subjective assessment of where "we are at", taking account of all that has happened since March, & specifically since the H/R election & the events of this week. "The State of the Union: the good, the bad & the ugly?" (as at 28.5.26).

1. Scotland WILL become an independent nation at some point in the future. Exactly How, When, Why this will happen is too complex to predict. However:

a. It may/may not happen in my remaining lifetime (I am 64; older folks may be more/less optimistic according to their own timelines!?)?

b. It will happen for both Positive & Negative reasons & as part of a more general/seismic Break up of the United Kingdom; it will be Messy with, as usual, "innocent casualties"?

c. The process will involve many forms of political & other compromises with Scottish, UK & International "actors"; we may have to "sup with the devil" (initially) to get what we want?

d. Anyone who thinks we can start an independent Scotland as some form of "guaranteed ideal Nirvana State" with no nuclear weapons, telling US administration^ to p*** off & a 100% fossil-fuel free economy etc, should go away, think about it for at least ten years & come back with an alternative plan? ^ = not necessarily Donald Trump?

e. Anyone who thinks that an independent Scotland will initially be 100% free of corruption, nepotism, tribalism & self interest should repeat the process in d above?

f. Anyone who thinks that we can attain independence without sacrificing the interests of our cousins in England, most likely left to the mercy of an ugly right-wing semi-fascist English State, should repeat the process in d above?

Summary: Independence IS attainable; under certain internal & external "causes & conditions" IF the Scottish people, in sufficient numbers & with sufficient commitment/passion, Really, Really want it & are prepared to do what is necessary to get it? It will Not be a clear, easy, fair process & many unpalatable compromises may be required to attain that initial "freedom"? Once attained, we have to accept that we cannot control the future; that internal demographics/political alignments & external global forces will also impact our national destiny. There is no insurance policy; no risk free indemnity, so we should stop looking for one? The political composition of future independent Scottish Parliaments is a matter for future voters (including the not yet born) to determine; not us at one fixed moment in demographic time? Uncertainty & change is the DNA of modern society? tbc/

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